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  <title>YR Signal — Trade Log, Market Research &amp; Economic Analysis</title>
  <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/</link>
  <description>A public trade log, market research, and economic analysis — real moves, real reasoning, no dollar amounts or position sizes.</description>
  <language>en-us</language>
  <lastBuildDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2026 16:00:00 -0400</lastBuildDate>
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  <item>
    <title>A Quiet, All-Green Session — No New Trades, Pure Price Drift</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-09-17-econ-quiet-green-session</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[No new trades landed anywhere today — the entire move in the book is price action. A broad, fairly uniform green session across AI-hardware and infrastructure names pushed Technology's share of the book to roughly 49%, purely from price movement, not new buying.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>The Windfall Lands — Tech Concentration Pushes to 48.7%</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#trade-log</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-09-16-windfall-sweep-filled</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2026 16:15:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The revised windfall sweep filled at this morning's open: the autonomous account added a healthcare name, a data-center-infrastructure dip-add, and a top-up to its mega-cap platform holding, while the default account added a separate top-up to the same mega-cap name. Technology exposure ticked up to roughly 49% of the book — see today's Econ Briefing.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Idle Cash Deployed Into the Three Largest Holdings</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#trade-log</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-09-14-idle-cash-deployed</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 14 Sep 2026 14:30:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Idle cash in the default account, left unspent from an earlier deposit, was put to work this morning into the account's three largest existing positions — the mega-cap platform, social/AI-agent, and AI-infrastructure GPU holdings. No new names, no thesis change. Separately: the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.95%, a direct headwind for the book's tech-heavy weighting — see today's Econ Briefing.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Data-Center Cooling Dip-Add: Filled, Now Recovering</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#trade-log</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-09-10-vrt-dip-add-filled</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 11 Sep 2026 14:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The small dip-add to the autonomous account's data-center-infrastructure position filled at Thursday's open. The stock kept falling that same day before bouncing back close to 4% on Friday as the broader market rallied into the CPI release — still a touch below the fill price but well off the week's low.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>A Hot Jobs Number Splits the Tape</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-09-05-econ-hot-jobs-split</guid>
    <pubDate>Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The August jobs report came in hot — ~162K vs ~53K expected, unemployment holding 4.1% — putting a September hike back on the table and making next week's CPI the pivot. Friday's index headline was small (S&P 500 -0.4%, Nasdaq-100 +0.2%) but the tape split hard: rate-sensitive mega-caps sold off (a large EV name -6%, a data-analytics name -4.5%, the biggest consumer-hardware and a mega-cap software name -2 to -2.5%) while the AI-hardware/memory/power complex rallied on its own supply-demand story (a memory-chip name +6%, a chip designer +5%, nuclear-utility and cooling names +4 to 5%). No portfolio moves; the book closed flat.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>A Broad Tech Up-Day, and a Book That Changed Shape</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-09-03-econ-book-reshaped</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 17:30:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Catch-up covering three sessions. Thursday was a broad tech-led advance — the mirror image of the Aug 31 rotation. The structural change: a small account linked to a third-party automated model portfolio deployed 16 positions on Sep 1, cutting the whole book's technology weight from ~50% to ~43% and roughly doubling energy. The model is a barbell — a T-bill anchor plus quality names against a thematic energy/power basket. Monitored, not managed. Macro unchanged: no FRED release, regime still Neutral / Hold, September FOMC the one thing that matters.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Model-Portfolio Sleeve Deployed: 16 Positions, a T-Bill-Anchored Barbell</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#trade-log</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-09-01-model-sleeve-deployed</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 01 Sep 2026 12:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[A separate small account linked to a third-party automated model portfolio deployed its opening basket in one pass: roughly a fifth in a Treasury-bill fund, a few quality compounders, and a thematic mix weighted to power and energy infrastructure plus a couple of recovery names. Deliberately walled off from the main book and monitored, not managed — the point is watching how an automated strategy behaves, not the return. Also: manual international + broad-market adds filled Sep 1–2.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>A Quiet Rotation Day: Energy Leads, Rate-Sensitives Lag</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-31-market-energy-rotation</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 31 Aug 2026 19:45:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Flat at the index level but a clear rotation underneath: crude +3% carried the oil majors higher while utilities and REITs — the bond-like corners — lagged, on a day yields held their climb. That's a firmer-for-longer rate read, not a growth scare. A large EV maker was the biggest winner (+5%) after a state approved its robotaxi network. Cybersecurity + hardware names report Sep 1 AMC, a semiconductor-infra name Sep 2.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Daily Top-Ups Filled: VTI + VOO, Drip Redirected Off a 38%-Weight Name</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-31-trade-vti-voo-filled</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 31 Aug 2026 09:35:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The two standing daily broad-market adds queued over the weekend both filled at Monday's open (VOO ~$705.33, VTI ~$378.48), essentially flat since entry. The autonomous-account leg was a deliberate redirect of that account's daily drip back to the core S&P 500 index fund, away from a single search name that had grown to ~38% of the account.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Weekend Daily Top-Ups: VTI + VOO, With the Drip Redirected Off a 38%-Weight Name</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-29-trade-vti-voo-redirect</guid>
    <pubDate>Sat, 29 Aug 2026 16:40:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The two standing daily broad-market adds, both queued over the weekend for Monday's open. The autonomous-account leg is a deliberate change: its daily drip had been going entirely into one mega-cap search name that had grown to ~38% of the account, so the routine add is being redirected back to the core S&P 500 index fund.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>NVDA Sell-the-News, and a Growth Nowcast That Keeps Fading</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-29-econ-nvda-sell-the-news</guid>
    <pubDate>Sat, 29 Aug 2026 13:20:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Friday was a textbook buy-the-rumor-sell-the-news: the dominant AI-chip name fell ~4.6% the day after strong forward guidance, dragging the second-derivative AI complex (networking, hardware, foundry, cooling, merchant power) down 2-5% while the other mega-caps absorbed the rotation. Gold -3.3%. No new FRED data; the GDP nowcast keeps drifting toward ~1% annualized as inflation quietly rolls over. Regime stays Neutral / Hold.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Routine Daily Top-Up, Two Sessions Running — Mechanically Ignoring the NVDA Selloff</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-28-trade-vti-googl-daily</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 28 Aug 2026 09:35:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The standing small broad-market add and the standing small position add filled again at Thursday's and Friday's opens. Friday's leg went in on an Nvidia sell-the-news day — exactly the kind of session this mechanical dollar-cost drip is built to ignore. No fresh thesis.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Nvidia Beats, and the Whole AI-Infrastructure Complex Exhales</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-27-market-nvda-beat</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 27 Aug 2026 16:15:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Nvidia's post-close beat — revenue +106% YoY, data center the bulk of it, next-year guidance well ahead — sent the stock up ~9% and lifted the adjacent networking/power/cooling names that depend on hyperscaler capex. Palo Alto +14% on acquisition-mode reporting plus a strong cybersecurity-peer print. The read-through, not the single stock, is the point.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Routine Top-Up Into a Broad, Macro-Driven Selloff — One Filled, One Still Queued</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-20-trade-voo-topup</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 20 Aug 2026 16:30:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Two routine broad-index top-ups on a session where equities, not just one sector, sold off broadly (S&P 500 -0.83%, Nasdaq-100 -0.72%, Russell 2000 -1.34%) while yields eased — the opposite pattern from Aug 19's chip-specific selloff. One order filled at the close; the other was placed after-hours and is still queued for the next open.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Diversifying Into a Chip-Sector Selloff, Not Buying the Dip in It</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-19-trade-voo-vxus-diversify</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2026 14:40:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Added broad-market and international index exposure rather than adding to already-concentrated individual chip names during a session where the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 5.4% — reading the move as rate/valuation-driven, not company-specific.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>New Position Filled: A Cleaner-Valued Entry Into the Memory-Chip Theme</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-19-trade-skhy-filled</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2026 09:35:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Watchlist name promoted to a real starter position — top-two global memory maker trading well below the multiple of the more obvious names in the same AI-shortage theme.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>A Long-Overdue Trim, Finally Taken</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-19-trade-panw-trim</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2026 09:30:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Partial profit-take on a position that first crossed +71% back in June and had sat un-acted-on since. No new negative catalyst — a broad chip/cybersecurity-sector selloff on the day just made it a good execution window.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Same Rate Backdrop, Wider Dispersion Underneath It</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-14-econ-quiet-macro-dispersion</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2026 15:15:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Intraday, not an official close — the rate backdrop didn't move (10-Year still 4.68%, Fed funds flat at 3.63%), but there was real dispersion underneath it: one AI-hardware name jumped over 5% while several others gave back 1-3%, with no single macro headline behind it. No new trades landed this session.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>A Broad Rally With Real Names Behind It — Palantir, Tesla, and a Solar-Facility Headline</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-13-insights-broad-rally</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2026 15:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[A genuine broad-based rally — S&P 500 +0.7%, Nasdaq-100 close to +1.2% — with real stories behind the leaders: Palantir up nearly 5% on continued Q2 momentum, Tesla up almost 4% on a proposed Texas solar-production facility. A couple of AI-infrastructure names gave back ground with no negative catalyst (one even got a price-target raise the same day), while a large healthcare name declined on an actual catalyst — a new cybersecurity/governance lawsuit plus ongoing Medicare Advantage scrutiny.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Long Rates Finally Ease Off Their Climb, and Tech Catches the Relief</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-13-econ-rates-ease</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2026 14:50:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Official close — the 10-Year yield eased to 4.68% (down 4bp from the prior print) even as the three-month trend still points up, with the 2-Year easing in step and the Fed funds rate flat. Several of the book's largest technology holdings rallied together, a plausible rate-relief tailwind on top of real stock-specific strength. One session of relief inside a still-rising trend, not a new regime — worth watching whether it holds into next week.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>New Position Filled: Dividend Reinvestment</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-13-trade-aapl-drip</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2026 10:05:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[A fraction-of-a-share dividend reinvestment — logged for completeness rather than significance.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>New Position Filled: A Routine Broad-Index Top-Up</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-13-trade-vti-filled</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2026 09:35:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Order queued the evening before, just after the prior close, filled at this morning's open — the mechanical, no-thesis-needed core-index leg of the book.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>New Position Filled: Standing Recurring MSFT Buy</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-12-trade-msft-filled</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 12 Aug 2026 15:05:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The book's own automatic dollar-cost-average schedule into MSFT, running independently of everything else logged here — not a discretionary call.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Long Rates Keep Climbing While the Fed Holds Still — and Today's Session Showed Exactly Why That Matters</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-12-econ-rates-climb</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 12 Aug 2026 13:50:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Intraday read, not an official close — the 10-Year yield pushed to 4.72% (+0.34pp over three months) while the Fed funds rate held flat, the widening gap the real story for the book's technology-heavy core. Two of the book's largest tech names traded down 2-3% on that rate mechanism, while the clean-energy position bucked the pattern with a double-digit jump on no confirmed news yet. The AI-driven memory-chip shortage theme rallied broadly on the watchlist. What to watch: July's CPI print lands today.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>New Position Filled: A Routine Broad-Index Top-Up</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-12-trade-vti-filled</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 12 Aug 2026 09:35:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Order queued the evening before, just after the prior close, filled at this morning's open — the mechanical, no-thesis-needed core-index leg of the book.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>The Three-Name AI-Power Build Is Complete — and a Broad, Unremarkable Red Day Elsewhere</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-11-econ-build-complete</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 11 Aug 2026 14:35:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Intraday read, not an official close — macro backdrop unchanged (Fed funds 3.63%, 10-Year yield 4.63%). The two remaining legs of the three-name AI-power/diversification build started Aug 6 — a healthcare name and a data-center-infrastructure name, both queued as of yesterday — are now confirmed fills, completing the build alongside the nuclear-heavy utility that filled Aug 7. Elsewhere, a broad, unremarkable pullback across several of the book's largest tech names, no single new catalyst behind it; the two newest positions were the standout gainers.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>New Position Filled: A Chipmaker-Agnostic Data-Center Infrastructure Name, Third Leg of the AI-Power Build</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-11-trade-vrt-filled</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 11 Aug 2026 09:35:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The order queued after Aug 10's close filled at this morning's open — data-center cooling and power delivery, a chipmaker-agnostic way to add more AI-infrastructure exposure. Third and final leg of the planned CEG/UNH/VRT build, filled the same morning as the healthcare leg below.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>New Position Filled: A Healthcare Name, Filling a Long-Flagged Diversification Gap</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-11-trade-unh-filled</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 11 Aug 2026 09:35:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The order queued after Aug 10's close filled at this morning's open — fills a long-flagged healthcare gap, no single-name exposure in the space before this. Low correlation to the rest of this AI-heavy book is the point, not a growth story. Second leg of the planned CEG/UNH/VRT build.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Energy Leads an Otherwise Mixed Tape, and the AI-Power Starter Position Is Now a Confirmed Fill</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-10-econ-energy-ceg-fill</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 10 Aug 2026 14:55:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Intraday read, not an official close — macro backdrop unchanged (Fed funds 3.63%, 10-Year yield 4.63%). Energy led today's tape, with both energy-major positions up meaningfully since Friday's close, alongside a defense name and a cybersecurity name (now up well over 100% from entry). The AI-power starter position flagged in the last briefing — a nuclear-heavy utility — is now a confirmed fill, not just a queued order; first leg of a planned three-name build, the other two still watchlist-only pending further funding.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>New Position Filled: A Nuclear-Power Utility, the Cheapest Way Into the AI-Power Buildout Theme</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-07-trade-ceg-filled</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 07 Aug 2026 09:35:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The order queued after Aug 6's close filled at this morning's open — a nuclear-heavy power utility with real current earnings and a multi-year hyperscaler power contract already in place, at the cheapest multiple found among the AI-power/memory-adjacent names researched this week. First leg of a planned build alongside a healthcare name and a data-center-infrastructure name, both still watchlist-only, filling long-flagged gaps in this book.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>New Position: A Nuclear-Power Utility, the Cheapest Way Into the AI-Power Buildout Theme</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-06-trade-ceg-pending</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2026 16:55:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Order placed (queued, executes at next open) for a nuclear-heavy power utility — real current earnings and a multi-year hyperscaler power contract already in place, at the cheapest multiple found among the AI-power/memory-adjacent names researched this week. First leg of a planned build alongside a healthcare name and a data-center-infrastructure name, both filling long-flagged gaps in this book.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>A Memory-Chip Supercycle Meets a Stretched Tape — and the Cheapest Way In Isn't the Obvious One</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-06-econ-memory-supercycle-ai-power</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2026 16:50:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The 10-Year yield extended its climb to 4.63%, still the dominant force behind today's tech dispersion. Deeper research thread: an AI-driven memory-chip shortage (NAND prices projected up 200%+ YoY) surfaced two richly-valued names that both gave back sharp gains the same session they were flagged, versus a newly-listed memory-maker ADR trading at roughly a third of peers' multiples on the same shortage exposure. A second look went toward AI-power (a nuclear utility with real earnings and a hyperscaler contract) and long-flagged healthcare/data-center-infrastructure gaps. The book's biggest winner is now up over 114% from its original buy — re-flagged again as a trim candidate. SpaceX bounced despite a share-lockup expiring today.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Rates Climb Past 4.60%, and AMD's Earnings Beat Gets Priced Like a Warning</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-08-05-econ-rates-amd-beat</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 05 Aug 2026 16:40:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The 10-Year Treasury yield climbed to 4.63% (+0.18pp/3mo) and the 2-Year to 4.20% (+0.25pp/3mo) with Fed funds flat — a market-driven repricing, not a policy shift. Growth/tech names sold off with no earnings attached, a pure discount-rate move; AMD beat Q2 estimates outright and still fell nearly 6% on capex-spend concerns, while Arista beat and rallied over 6% the same evening. Gold caught a real flight-to-safety bid (+4.4%). SpaceX's first-ever public earnings beat estimates but the stock kept falling into a share-lockup expiration landing Aug 6.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>The Fed Holds, Then Microsoft and Meta Split the Room — A Two-Session Catch-Up</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-30-insights-fomc-msft-meta-catchup</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 30 Jul 2026 16:30:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Catch-up covering two skipped-post sessions: the Jul 29 FOMC held rates at 3.5-3.75% (5th straight hold, 3 dissents wanting a hike) and Bloom Energy's Q2 beat resolved its trim-vs-hold question. Jul 30: Microsoft beat cleanly (Azure +43%, RPO +84% to $678B) while Meta missed on EPS despite 28% revenue growth — opposite reactions from the same earnings night. Bloom Energy kept running on a fresh AI-power deal, broad chip/hardware names rallied alongside Microsoft's beat, and the VIX fell sharply confirming a genuine risk-on session.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Coca-Cola Hits a Record High While Chip Names Keep Sliding — Same Split, Different Day</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-28-insights-ko-beat-chip-slide</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 28 Jul 2026 12:15:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Coca-Cola beat on both lines and raised full-year guidance, jumping ~7% to a fresh 52-week high, while AMD (-3.4%), Dell (-9%, despite not reporting until September), and Palantir (-6%) kept sliding on AI-capex/export-restriction fears and a same-day Japan/Korea semiconductor rout. Despite the chip-sector stress, the VIX actually fell — a sign of sector rotation, not broad risk-off, heading into tomorrow's FOMC decision and MSFT/META earnings.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>A China Lithography Breakthrough Crashes Chip Stocks While Oil Crashes for a Different Reason Entirely</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-27-insights-chip-selloff-oil-crash</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2026 14:45:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[A report that a Shanghai state-backed firm has begun mass-producing homegrown DUV lithography equipment triggered a broad chip-sector selloff (AMD -7.5%, Teradyne -6.1%, Nvidia -5.1%, SMH -3.7%, Micron -4.5% on a second catalyst from a Chinese memory maker's 500%+ Shanghai IPO debut), while crude oil crashed 5-6% on a reported US-Iran weekend strike pause. Money rotated into defense, megacap tech, and defensives instead — RTX, Microsoft, Coca-Cola, Alphabet, and Palantir all gained.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>A Weekend Follow-Up Changes the Story on One Name Ahead of the Busiest Earnings Week of the Summer</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-26-insights-weekend-followup</guid>
    <pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2026 18:10:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[A weekend news check found Bloom Energy's overhang has escalated from a valuation debate into a short-seller report now under a securities class-action investigation — a materially different risk than earlier this week's framing. That lands right as the heaviest earnings week of the summer arrives on top of a Treasury yield four sessions into a climb.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Not All Red Days Are the Same Story: An Earnings Miss, a Valuation Call, and Plain Momentum</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-24-insights-three-stories</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 24 Jul 2026 12:55:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Tesla's slide is a confirmed earnings miss (margin and free-cash-flow pressure from AI/robotics capex), Bloom Energy's continued decline reads as a valuation debate ahead of its Jul 28 report, and Apple's gain is plain momentum with no single catalyst — three different reasons to move that would look identical on a one-day chart.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Earnings Season Arrives While the Rate Backdrop Sits Quiet</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-22-econ-earnings-season</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2026 13:45:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The macro calendar is quiet — Fed funds unchanged at 3.63%, the 10-Year near 4.60%, unemployment flat at 4.20%. The bigger driver today is corporate: two mega-cap names report after today's close, the first live earnings test of the season for a Technology-heavy allocation, with two defense names following before tomorrow's open.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>A Flat Headline Hides a Wide Split — And Two Big Earnings Land After the Bell</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-22-insights-flat-day-earnings</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2026 13:45:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[A roughly flat index-level day masked real dispersion: a leading server maker jumped nearly 10% on continued AI-infrastructure-demand confirmation, while two mega-cap software names extended pre-earnings drawdowns. A search-and-cloud giant and an EV/energy-storage name both report after today's close — the first live earnings test of the season for this book.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>The Chip Bear Market Reverses Hard on a New Supply Deal and a Bullish Pricing Call</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-21-insights-chip-reversal</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 21 Jul 2026 14:20:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Four days after the SOX confirmed a bear market, semiconductors staged one of their sharpest reversals of the summer on a new GPU-designer/cloud-provider supply deal plus a bullish sell-side call on memory pricing. A fuel-cell name caught between a bullish infrastructure deal and short-seller allegations finally got a decisive, one-sided catalyst: a major bank price-target hike sent it up double digits.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Semiconductors Confirm a Bear Market — And Wall Street Is Already Calling the Bottom</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-20-insights-sox-bear-market</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2026 15:57:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) has formally entered a bear market, down roughly 20% from its late-June record. Several sell-side banks — Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, Mizuho — are already calling the pullback a buying opportunity rather than a fundamentals break, and NVDA/AMD ticked higher on the day. The disagreement isn't whether AI infrastructure spending continues, it's whether the returns show up fast enough to justify current multiples.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Bloom Energy's $25B Brookfield Deal Collides With Short-Seller Allegations, While SpaceX Nurses a Starship Setback</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-20-insights-be-spcx</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2026 15:57:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Bloom Energy fell despite Brookfield expanding its AI-infrastructure partnership fivefold to $25B, weighed down by two unresolved short-seller reports alleging undisclosed China supply-chain exposure. SpaceX sits roughly 45% off its post-IPO high after an aborted Starship test flight, with the next attempt rescheduled for Thursday, Jul 23.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Semiconductors Post Their Worst Week Since Last Spring on AI-Capex Doubts</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-17-insights-semi-selloff</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 17 Jul 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[A broad, sector-wide selloff hit semiconductors today — down roughly 20% from their recent record on doubts the AI-capex spending spree can keep justifying itself, sharpened by a competitive new open-weight model from a Chinese AI startup. Energy, cybersecurity, and gold held up; the real test is whether Big Tech trims capex guidance at earnings over the next two weeks.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Buy: XLU (Starter)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-16-buy-xlu</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 16 Jul 2026 14:12:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[New utilities-sector position — filling a real, long-flagged gap in the book. AI power-demand is a genuine secular tailwind, not just a defensive filler pick. Picked over a real-estate ETF I'd also been considering for the same slot — that one hit a fresh 52-week high the same day this went in.]]></description>
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    <title>Buy: VXUS (Starter)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-16-buy-vxus</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 16 Jul 2026 14:12:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[New international-diversification position — zero non-US exposure was a real, repeatedly-flagged gap. Chosen over a REIT ETF alternative for the same new-money slot: starting from literally zero international exposure won out over a smaller tax optimization.]]></description>
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    <title>Buy: GOOGL (Building)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-16-buy-googl</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 16 Jul 2026 14:12:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Continued build — still working toward a full-size position. Sized down from an originally larger planned add after deciding to hold back part of this round's new money for a near-term cash need.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Buy: MSFT (Core)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-16-buy-msft</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 16 Jul 2026 14:12:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Continued DCA into one of the book's most underwater quality holdings, ahead of the late-July earnings window. Sized down from an originally larger planned add for the same reason as today's GOOGL add.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Market Notes: A Rotation Inside Tech — AI-Hardware Sells Off While Mega-Cap Software Rallies</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-15-post-hardware-software-rotation</guid>
    <pubDate>Wed, 15 Jul 2026 15:37:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[No new Fed/Treasury data today, so the session's moves came from company news, not a rate signal. A major hardware name fell double digits on reports a large social-media company may lease out surplus AI compute — raising hyperscaler-overbuild concerns — plus memory-cost margin pressure and a valuation downgrade. A leading memory-chip maker dropped nearly 8% on Chinese DRAM competition and possible export-control tightening, dragging the broader chip complex with it. Meanwhile mega-cap software (search/cloud, consumer electronics, enterprise software, e-commerce) rallied together, and the largest AI-chip designer held here sat out both stories, essentially flat. Reads as a rotation within tech, not a broad move.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Market Notes: Cool CPI Flips Yesterday's Rotation — Growth Rallies, Energy Cools Off</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-14-post-cpi-rotation-flip</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 14 Jul 2026 14:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[June CPI fell -0.4% month-over-month, the largest single-month drop since April 2020, on a sharp energy-index decline — core CPI held near +2.85% YoY. Markets flipped Monday's rotation: semiconductor and AI-infrastructure names rallied 3-4% together, a defense-AI software name's rally has now pushed it above its own average analyst target, and a hardware name jumped hardest on AI-server-backlog reports plus a software-to-hardware divergence trade after a peer's revenue warning. Yesterday's winners — energy majors and defensives — cooled off in the mirror image. One data point doesn't reverse a policy stance; the July 28-29 FOMC is the real test.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Market Notes: A Clean Rotation Day — AI/Growth Sells Off, Energy and Mega-Cap Software Catch a Bid</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-13-post-clean-rotation-day</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 13 Jul 2026 17:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Monday mirrored the Jul 2 rotation, playing out inside the existing rate backdrop with no new FRED data behind it. Semiconductor and AI-power names fell 3-5% together, a fuel-cell name still working through last week's short-seller story gave up similar ground, and a newly-public space-launch name kept sliding — while energy majors caught a bid on the cracked Iran ceasefire and mega-cap cloud software was one of the few green names in tech. Correlated moves across a whole sector on a no-data day read as rotation, not a verdict on any one name — Tuesday's CPI print is the real test.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Market Notes: A Short-Seller Report Gets a Formal Rebuttal, and the Week Ahead Has Three Real Catalysts</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-12-post-be-rebuttal-week-ahead</guid>
    <pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2026 14:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Bloom Energy filed a formal SEC 8-K on Jul 9 rebutting last week's short-seller report point by point — a stronger response than a press denial, though still unconfirmed by any third party. Looking ahead: June CPI lands Tuesday (nowcast ~3.96% YoY), big-bank earnings kick off the same morning, and futures-implied Fed hike odds have moved further hawkish this week specifically (July FOMC 31%, up from 17%; September 84%, up from 61%).]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Market Notes: A Weekend Gut-Check — Which Drawdowns Are Real, and Which Are Just Cost-Basis Math</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-11-post-weekend-gut-check</guid>
    <pubDate>Sat, 11 Jul 2026 12:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[A weekend review of five long-underwater names found two very different stories. Gold, two energy majors, a defense name, and a mega-cap tech name are all down mostly on entry-timing (bought near local tops before pullbacks that have since started reversing), with the underlying thesis for each intact. A newly-public space-launch company down over 20% is different — a large bond offering, a still-rich ~100x-sales valuation, and creeping share-lockup expirations are real, unresolved risk, not market overreaction. Takeaway: "down a lot" and "thesis broken" are different claims, and conflating them either way is a mistake.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Market Notes: Two Different Kinds of "AI Stock Down" — And Why They're Not the Same Risk</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-10-post-two-kinds-ai-risk</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 10 Jul 2026 15:30:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Three AI-adjacent names moved sharply today for three different reasons: Meta jumped ~6% on a genuinely new cloud-compute business launch and in-house AI chip news; Bloom Energy fell ~6% on a short-seller report alleging misleading supply-chain disclosures (denied by management); Palo Alto Networks fell ~4% on hawkish-Fed valuation compression alone. "AI stocks were mixed" is true but low-information — a demand re-rating, a credibility dispute, and a rate-driven multiple compression are three distinct risks that happened to land on the same day.]]></description>
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  <item>
    <title>Market Notes: The Fed's Hawkish Pivot — Why "No Rate Cut" Wasn't the Real Story</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-10-post-fed-hawkish-pivot</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 10 Jul 2026 14:30:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The Fed held rates steady June 17, but the dot plot flipped hawkish — 9 of 18 officials now project a hike by year-end under new Chair Kevin Warsh, with October hike odds now being priced. That reverses the cut-leaning backdrop most of H1 was priced against, and raises the bar for paying up on long-duration growth names that already re-rated higher since June, versus sectors with steadier demand or a direct AI-infrastructure angle (utilities, energy, industrials).]]></description>
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    <title>Market Notes: The Chip Sleeve Bounces Back</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-09-post-chip-bounce</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 09 Jul 2026 14:30:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Two sessions after the Samsung-earnings/DeepSeek selloff hit semiconductor and AI-adjacent names, most of that move is reversing — the same names leading the decline are leading the bounce back, with no new catalyst behind it beyond the initial scare fading. Read as a headline-driven round-trip rather than a fundamentals shift in either direction; the real signal is whether these names hold the bounce through the next earnings cycle or keep whipsawing on every AI-competition headline.]]></description>
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    <title>Market Notes: A Chip-Specific Selloff, Not a Broad One</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-07-post-chip-selloff</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 07 Jul 2026 14:30:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Samsung's soft quarterly results plus a Reuters report that China's DeepSeek is developing its own AI chip triggered a sharp semiconductor selloff — a popular chip ETF fell ~4.5% while the Nasdaq was down only ~0.6% and the S&P 500 ~0.2%. Nvidia itself was little changed to higher, suggesting the market is treating this as a competitive/supply-chain story rather than a broad AI-trade reversal. Worth tracking as a distinct risk from this year's rate-driven rotations.]]></description>
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    <title>Market Notes: Records and a Rotation, Heading Into the Holiday Weekend</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-04-post-records-rotation</guid>
    <pubDate>Sat, 04 Jul 2026 09:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The last session before the July 4th break produced a genuinely odd pairing: the Dow closed at a fresh record — its fourth straight — while the Nasdaq fell for a second consecutive day, on a soft June jobs report (57K vs. ~113K est.) that lowered near-term Fed hike odds. Chips fell for a second straight session (~12% over two days), Tesla dropped ~7% despite beating delivery estimates, and Europe/Japan were mixed. Watch into the Jul 6 reopen: chip stabilization and a tariff court appeal.]]></description>
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    <title>Buy: RTX · GOOGL (Building / Core)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-03-buy-rtx-googl</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Leaning into the sector rotation playing out this week — money moving out of tech/semis (up 80%+ in H1) into industrials and defense. RTX gets the bigger add: a fresh $1.1B Navy missile contract, raised full-year guidance, and an analyst upgrade to Buy. GOOGL gets a smaller top-up given rising capex guidance has compressed near-term free cash flow margin ahead of earnings. Queued — fills Mon Jul 6 (market closed Jul 3 for the holiday).]]></description>
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    <title>Buy: META (Core)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-03-buy-meta</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Topping up my most underwater quality holding after a sharp single-day pullback — same ad-monetization + AI thesis as the Jun 23 add, just a cheaper entry. Queued — fills Mon Jul 6 (market closed Jul 3 for the holiday).]]></description>
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    <title>Buy: VTI · VOO (Core)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-03-buy-vti-voo</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Routine systematic index contribution — no new thesis here, just staying consistent with regular broad-market buying regardless of what else is happening that week. Queued — fills Mon Jul 6 (market closed Jul 3 for the holiday).]]></description>
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    <title>Market Notes: A Clean Rotation Day</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-02-post-clean-rotation</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2026 09:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[A textbook rotation session, not a broad selloff — TSLA, DELL, BE, META, AMD, ANET, NVDA sold off while AAPL, LMT, RTX, KO, XLV, and GLD rallied together. Reads as profit-taking funding a rotation, not a thesis break for the names that sold off.]]></description>
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    <title>Market Notes: H1 2026 Sector Rotation — What Actually Moved</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-02-post-h1-sector-rotation</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2026 08:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Tech (XLK) led H1 2026 up ~25%, but Energy (+16.6%) and Industrials (+16.4%) nearly matched it — industrials increasingly a second-order AI-infrastructure play via power, cooling, and physical buildout. Consumer Discretionary was the lone red sector, down ~1%.]]></description>
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    <title>Market Notes: The 2s10s Curve and What It's Telling Us</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#econ</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-07-02-post-2s10s-curve</guid>
    <pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2026 07:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The 2-Year Treasury yield has climbed faster than the 10-Year through H1 2026 — a flattening move that signals the market pricing in less near-term Fed easing, not tighter policy. Long-duration, high-multiple growth names are the most exposed to this kind of repricing.]]></description>
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    <title>Buy: GOOGL (Building)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-26-buy-googl</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 26 Jun 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[New position — the last Mag7 name I didn't hold. Cloud growing ~63% YoY, reasonable multiple for the growth rate, and Gemini is showing up in the numbers, not just the keynote. Building this slowly over a few months rather than going in all at once.]]></description>
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    <title>Sell: WMT · F · QQQ · SMH</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-23-sell-wmt-f-qqq-smh</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Cleaned out four small, low-conviction positions I'd accumulated without a real thesis behind any of them. Redeployed straight into names I actually wanted to be bigger in (MSFT/META), same day.]]></description>
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    <title>Buy: MSFT · META (Core)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-23-buy-msft-meta</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Adding to my two most underwater quality holdings ahead of their late-July earnings. Both pulled back hard on broad tech weakness this year with no change to the underlying growth story — Azure and AI ad-load are still doing the work.]]></description>
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    <title>Buy: PLTR (Starter)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-23-buy-pltr</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[New position. Federal AI/data contracts (Army, and increasingly defense-adjacent "Golden Dome" work) are becoming a real revenue line, not just a narrative. Starting small.]]></description>
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    <title>Buy: RTX (Starter)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-23-buy-rtx</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[New defense position. Missile/interceptor demand tied to the same Golden Dome buildout as PLTR — pairing a hardware prime with a software integrator.]]></description>
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    <title>Sell: AAPL · META</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-23-sell-aapl-meta</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Small rebalance in a satellite account, same cleanup day as the WMT/F/QQQ/SMH sells — trimming a couple of tiny, low-conviction odd-lot positions to concentrate further into the names getting added that day.]]></description>
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    <title>Trim: BE</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-16-trim-be</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Partial trim after a sharp one-day drop tied to a competitor (fuel cells) losing out on a gas-turbine deal, plus some insider selling. Kept half the position — the AI-power-demand thesis isn't broken, but the news changed my sizing, not my direction.]]></description>
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    <title>Buy: XLV (Starter)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-16-buy-xlv</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 15:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[New healthcare sector position — this was a real gap in the book. Low correlation to the AI trade, defensive characteristics, decent momentum in 2026.]]></description>
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    <title>Market Notes: AI's Power Bottleneck — Why Compute Isn't the Constraint Anymore</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#insights</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-15-post-power-bottleneck</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2026 09:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[The AI buildout narrative has shifted from compute scarcity to power availability — data center demand is projected to keep climbing sharply through 2030. The trade is no longer just semis and hyperscalers, it's the power producers and grid-adjacent names behind them.]]></description>
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    <title>Trim: PANW · GLD · AMD</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-12-trim-panw-gld-amd</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Locking in some gains across three big winners in one session — PANW and AMD were both up well over 50% from cost, GLD had run hard too. Kept the core of each; this was profit-taking, not an exit.]]></description>
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    <title>Sell: AMC</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-12-sell-amc</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2026 15:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Full exit on a legacy meme-stock position from years ago. No fundamental thesis was ever attached to this one — just cleaning it out.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Buy: JPM (Starter)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-12-buy-jpm</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2026 14:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[New financials position — another sector gap. Steeper yield curve and an active M&A environment both favor big banks here.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Buy: DELL (Building)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-07-buy-dell</guid>
    <pubDate>Sun, 07 Jun 2026 12:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[AI infrastructure hardware exposure alongside NVDA/AMD — a different part of the same buildout (servers, not just chips).]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Buy: TSLA · BE · AMD (Core)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-06-05-buy-tsla-be-amd</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Adds across existing positions on a pullback — no new thesis, just buying more of what I already believed in at a better price.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Buy: CVX · XOM (Core)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-03-24-buy-cvx-xom</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 24 Mar 2026 16:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Built out a dual-major energy position (both CVX and XOM, deliberately, not either/or). Straightforward hedge against oil-price and inflation surprises the rest of the book doesn't cover.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Buy: LMT · PANW (Building)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-03-24-buy-lmt-panw</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 24 Mar 2026 15:00:00 -0400</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Defense budget tailwinds (LMT) and continued conviction in the security name ahead of what turned into a big run (PANW).]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Buy: GLD (Core)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-01-31-buy-gld</guid>
    <pubDate>Sat, 31 Jan 2026 12:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Building a gold hedge in three tranches. Simple macro hedge against real-rate surprises and dollar weakness — not a trade on gold going up, a hedge for if everything else goes down.]]></description>
  </item>

  <item>
    <title>Buy: ANET (Starter)</title>
    <link>https://yashrao10.github.io/signal-log/#feed</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="false">2026-01-27-buy-anet</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 27 Jan 2026 16:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
    <description><![CDATA[Networking hardware for AI data centers — same buildout as DELL/NVDA, different layer of the stack.]]></description>
  </item>

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