PGY: factor decomposition (Financials)

How much of PGY's move over the window is systematic (market, XLF sector-excess, rate-excess via TLT) vs. idiosyncratic (stock-specific).

Return decomposition (log-return points, additive)

Market+65.02ppSector (excess)+6.51ppRate (excess)+0.21ppIdiosyncratic-118.13pp

Factor betas

Beta · Market (SPY)+3.22
Beta · Sector-excess (XLF)+1.23
Beta · Rate-excess (TLT)-0.06
R²0.33
Window2025-08-22 → 2026-09-24 (273 trading days)

Read

R² is 0.33: a reasonably reliable fit; the betas and the split below are worth reading at face value.

Note: the net move here (-46.4pp) is small relative to the systematic and idiosyncratic swings underneath it; they're largely offsetting each other, which is why the idiosyncratic share below exceeds 100% (it's dividing by a small net, not an error). Read the pp values themselves as the meaningful numbers here, not the ratio.

Of PGY's -46.4pp move over this window, -118.1pp (255% of the total magnitude) is idiosyncratic, not explained by riding market, sector, or rate moves. The rest (+71.7pp) came from systematic exposure: market +65.0pp, sector +6.5pp, rate +0.2pp.