ANET: factor decomposition (Technology)

How much of ANET's move over the window is systematic (market, XLK sector-excess, rate-excess via TLT) vs. idiosyncratic (stock-specific).

Return decomposition (log-return points, additive)

Market+40.85ppSector (excess)+56.54ppRate (excess)-0.70ppIdiosyncratic-52.35pp

Factor betas

Beta · Market (SPY)+2.03
Beta · Sector-excess (XLK)+1.36
Beta · Rate-excess (TLT)+0.19
R²0.35
Window2025-08-22 → 2026-09-24 (273 trading days)

Read

R² is 0.35: a reasonably reliable fit; the betas and the split below are worth reading at face value.

Note: the net move here (+44.3pp) is small relative to the systematic and idiosyncratic swings underneath it; they're largely offsetting each other, which is why the idiosyncratic share below exceeds 100% (it's dividing by a small net, not an error). Read the pp values themselves as the meaningful numbers here, not the ratio.

Of ANET's +44.3pp move over this window, -52.4pp (118% of the total magnitude) is idiosyncratic, not explained by riding market, sector, or rate moves. The rest (+96.7pp) came from systematic exposure: market +40.9pp, sector +56.5pp, rate -0.7pp.