Moderate confidence: R² is 0.16; these three factors explain some but not most of AAPL's day-to-day variance. Treat the split below as directional.
Note: the net move here (+40.5pp) is small relative to the systematic and idiosyncratic swings underneath it; they're largely offsetting each other, which is why the idiosyncratic share below exceeds 100% (it's dividing by a small net, not an error). Read the pp values themselves as the meaningful numbers here, not the ratio.
Of AAPL's +40.5pp move over this window, +40.9pp (101% of the total magnitude) is idiosyncratic, not explained by riding market, sector, or rate moves. The rest (-0.4pp) came from systematic exposure: market +14.0pp, sector -14.6pp, rate +0.2pp.